PEPE traded at $0.00000431, up 2.7% on the session, as buyers squeezed the meme-coin into a tight band between $0.00000426 support and $0.00000445 resistance — a 4.5% intraday range against a 14-day RSI of 71.6, the textbook overbought threshold.
By the numbers
- Spot price: $0.00000431, a 2.7% one-day move.
- Market cap: $1.39 billion across a 413.77 trillion circulating supply.
- 24-hour volume: $320 million, down 20.5% — a liquidity drain even as price ticks higher.
- Distance from the December 9, 2024 all-time high of $0.00002825: roughly 85% below the peak, or about a 6.5x round trip required to retest it.
- Distance from the April 14, 2023 all-time low of $0.00000000001062: a multiple north of 400,000x — context for how far the token has already traveled.
- Fear & Greed Index: 38 (Fear) with neutral sentiment and 30-day realized volatility at 4.91%.
- Green days: 17 of the past 30, or 57% — a positive but not euphoric tape.
What the moving averages say
Seven of eight daily SMAs print BUY: the 3-day at $0.000004209, the 21-day at $0.000003921, the 50-day at $0.000003674. The lone holdout is the 200-day SMA at $0.000004496, sitting roughly 4.3% above spot — the structural ceiling bulls have not reclaimed. The EMA stack tells the same story: BUY across the 3-, 5-, 10-, 21-, 50- and 100-day, SELL on the 200-day at $0.000004910, a 14% gap to current price.
Forecast model versus market
The technical model's near-term target sits at $0.000003239, implying a 24.98% downside from spot — a sharp divergence from the bullish micro-structure. Reconcile that with the medium-term scenarios: 2026 cycle high near $0.000025 (roughly a 5.8x from here) and a 2032 projection of $0.00035, a theoretical 81x over six years, or a compounded annual growth rate of about 100%.
Peer context
PEPE's $1.39B cap leaves it well behind DOGE and SHIB in the meme-coin hierarchy. A breakout above $0.00000459 is the next algorithmic trigger; failure punts the tape toward $0.00000409, a 5% drawdown from spot. With volume down 20.5% and RSI in overbought territory, the asymmetric setup favors a cooling-off period before the bulls earn a real trend.