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Japan Q2 GDP prints 1.1% annualized, misses 2.0% consensus

8/17/2026

1.1% annualized, quarter-over-quarter. Japan's preliminary second-quarter GDP reading landed at that level, 90 basis points below the 2.0% consensus and down from 1.8% in the first quarter.

The quarterly figure, 0.3%, also missed: the estimate had been 0.5%. | Metric | Reported | Estimate | vs.

estimate | |---|---|---|---| | GDP, annualized QoQ | 1.1% | 2.0% | -0.9pp | | GDP, QoQ | 0.3% | 0.5% | -0.2pp | | Prior quarter, annualized QoQ | 1.8% | n/a | n/a | The sequential deceleration from Q1's 1.8% annualized pace amounts to 70 basis points.

On the quarterly measure, the 20-basis-point miss against consensus, 0.3% printed against 0.5% expected, drove the headline shortfall. The data carries a preliminary label.

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