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8.5 wins is where oddsmakers have priced the Jacksonville Jaguars, a number that implies a four-and-a-half-game regression from last year's 13-4 record.
Jacksonville outscored opponents by 138 points that season, went 10-2 in AFC play, and closed on an eight-game winning streak before losing 27-24 to the Buffalo Bills in the Wild Card round.
The regression case That eight-game closing run has an asterisk. Six of those wins came against the Cardinals, Titans (twice), Colts (twice), and New York.
Denver and Los Angeles, both playoff teams, were the only two opponents that counted. A harder schedule this year weighs on the number. Running back Travis Etienne departed for the New Orleans Saints.
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